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Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to give his insight into the Premier League and he thinks Man Utd are being overlooked when betting against Newcastle.
Aston Villa vs Brighton, Monday 7.45pm
Backing Brighton as outsiders makes sense in these types of games. The type of forward they like to recruit tends to thrive in transition but struggle when tasked with breaking a low block. Scoring just one goal from 67 shots this season at home against Brentford, Southampton and Ipswich tells you all you need to know about how uneven Brighton’s forwards are when it comes to finishing. .
However, despite now going six games without a win, Fabian Hurzeler’s side have beaten Bournemouth, Man City, Newcastle, Tottenham, Man Utd and drawn with Arsenal this season where opposition teams offer more a place for them to play. At 5/6 with Sky Bet, they are one of the best bets on the card on the double chance at Villa Park.
SCORE PREDICTIONS: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Brighton double chance (5/6 with Sky Bet)
Ipswich vs Chelsea, Monday 7.45pm
Ipswich have now lost five of their last six games – only Southampton (2) have fewer points over that period. It’s getting a bit bleak for them.
Confidence oozes in the final third with the flexible, seamless attacking patterns we saw tearing apart the Sky Bet Championship last season a distant memory. They have scored just two or more goals in four of their 18 games this season, conceding four of their last six. Omari Hutchinson’s form has dropped completely while Liam Delap is now feeding scraps.
A Chelsea win to nil at 7/4 with Sky Bet looks a nice way to boost the win price straight away.
SCORE FORECAST: 0-2
Manchester United vs Newcastle, Monday night 8pm, live on Sky Sports
I’m swimming against the tide here and remain quite positive on Manchester United’s prospects under this manager, especially from a defensive point of view. The structure and organization is so much safer than under Erik ten Hag and it can lead to positive results when confidence returns and Bruno Fernandes doesn’t get sent off.
The expected goals data suggests that Ruben Amorim’s influence is already stabilizing them a bit, although the results make it hard to believe that.
The market has moved too much towards this unreliable Toon who have only won three on the road in their last 10 games in all competitions and were beaten 3-2 by the Ten Hag team last season at Old Trafford. I’ll put my crash helmet on and tip Man Utd on the draw no bet at 10/11 with Sky Bet with absolutely no confidence based on price alone.
SCORE FORECAST: 1-1
Brentford vs Arsenal, Wednesday 5.30pm
Thomas Frank lost two more key members of his backline at Brentford to take the total number of injured players to 11 in the draw at Brighton. Such depletion is going to bite sooner or later and this could be where the tide turns.
Arsenal, without gaining much praise, seem to be getting ahead again when it comes to winning games. The return of Declan Rice may have something to do with that – he has looked more himself in recent weeks and faces a major goal scoring threat from midfield.
He netted in the win at Palace and went close with two strikes in the comfortable 1-0 win over Ipswich. The 18/1 on him to score first with Sky Bet is too big. Back to him.
